Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000812 0.000871 0.000934 0.001004 0.001082 0.001166 0.001263
2026-01-25 0.000832 0.000929 0.001038 0.001168 0.001321 0.001498 0.001717
2026-02-01 0.000740 0.000848 0.000971 0.001125 0.001314 0.001540 0.001837
2026-02-08 0.000676 0.000789 0.000922 0.001093 0.001310 0.001581 0.001950
2026-02-15 0.000633 0.000751 0.000893 0.001081 0.001326 0.001642 0.002091
2026-02-22 0.000591 0.000710 0.000857 0.001055 0.001320 0.001672 0.002188
2026-03-01 0.000548 0.000666 0.000814 0.001016 0.001293 0.001669 0.002238
2026-03-08 0.000521 0.000640 0.000792 0.001003 0.001298 0.001708 0.002349
2026-03-15 0.000495 0.000614 0.000767 0.000984 0.001293 0.001733 0.002439
2026-03-22 0.000459 0.000573 0.000721 0.000933 0.001240 0.001683 0.002408
2026-03-29 0.000437 0.000550 0.000698 0.000912 0.001227 0.001691 0.002469
2026-04-05 0.000420 0.000532 0.000681 0.000900 0.001226 0.001717 0.002559
2026-04-12 0.000403 0.000516 0.000668 0.000895 0.001241 0.001774 0.002723
2026-04-19 0.000433 0.000566 0.000750 0.001035 0.001489 0.002232 0.003658
2026-04-26 0.000407 0.000535 0.000715 0.000998 0.001456 0.002219 0.003727
2026-05-03 0.000386 0.000511 0.000689 0.000971 0.001436 0.002227 0.003838
2026-05-10 0.000371 0.000496 0.000674 0.000961 0.001442 0.002281 0.004049
2026-05-17 0.000355 0.000476 0.000652 0.000939 0.001426 0.002294 0.004173
2026-05-24 0.000336 0.000453 0.000624 0.000906 0.001390 0.002264 0.004202
2026-05-31 0.000324 0.000440 0.000610 0.000894 0.001389 0.002302 0.004388
2026-06-07 0.000312 0.000426 0.000594 0.000878 0.001379 0.002322 0.004533
2026-06-14 0.000294 0.000402 0.000563 0.000835 0.001318 0.002234 0.004412
2026-06-21 0.000283 0.000389 0.000547 0.000817 0.001302 0.002236 0.004508